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Activity

How accurate your step count, calorie burn, and workout heart rate actually are, and what the research says about the formulas behind them.

Steps, calories burned, and heart rate zones are the numbers that show up after almost every workout, and most people never ask how they're actually calculated. Steps come from an accelerometer inferring motion, not counting footfalls. Calories come from a formula, not a direct measurement of the energy your body used. Your "max heart rate" is usually just your age plugged into an equation. Here's what the research says about how well each of those actually holds up.

What your device actually calls this
Scientific measurementStep count and energy expenditure are inferred from accelerometer motion and heart rate data, not measured directly. Maximal heart rate is typically estimated from an age-based formula (most commonly "220 minus age"), not measured during a real maximal effort.
DeviceWhat they call itWhat it actually measures
Oura"Automatic Activity Detection"Identifies roughly 40 activity types automatically, then reports average heart rate and heart-rate-zone breakdown once the activity is detected. "Active Calories" now factors in exercise intensity, not just movement.
WhoopHeart-rate-based "Strain" and calorie estimateBuilt on a real, named 2005 formula (Keytel et al., University of Cape Town) predicting energy expenditure from heart rate, weight, and age, with proprietary adjustments layered on top.
Garmin"Firstbeat" engineDrives Garmin's calorie and intensity estimates; published accuracy is reported as dependent on wearing a chest strap for best results.
Apple Watch / most wrist wearablesStep count, Active Calories, Heart Rate ZonesStep count from a 3-axis accelerometer inferring wrist-movement patterns, not literal footfalls; accuracy drops sharply at slow walking speeds or when wrist movement is restricted.

The most surprising finding in the research behind this page: the same wearables that measure heart rate and step count reasonably well are still bad at calories specifically. A systematic review of 65 studies across 72 devices and 29 brands found energy-expenditure error exceeded 30% for every brand tested, even though step count and heart rate came through comparably better in the same review.

Step count & heart rate accuracy: Established · see the file Calorie accuracy: Uncertain · see the file 220-minus-age formula accuracy: Uncertain · see the file

Sources: Oura's own activity-features blog post (ouraring.com), a primary source. Whoop's calorie methodology traces to Keytel LR et al., "Prediction of energy expenditure from heart rate monitoring during submaximal exercise," Journal of Sports Sciences, 2005, doi:10.1080/02640410470001730089. Garmin's Firstbeat detail from Garmin's own technology page (garmin.com). Full study-by-study evidence, including the max-heart-rate-formula literature, lives on the Research Desk linked above.

Research Desk · live file
See the full Activity evidence file
Every claim rated Established, Emerging, Uncertain, Insufficient, or Unsupported, with a research log reviewed against new studies on a rolling basis.
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