Activity: What Holds Up and What Doesn't
Wrist trackers count steps well for ordinary walking and badly with a cane or walker. What step counts predict, and where the calorie numbers fall apart.
7 questions rated against 98 screened studies. Each rating is the evidence on that one question, not an average of the desk.
activity hub →does device-measured physical activity predict better health outcomes
§Rated proposition Higher wearable-measured physical activity is associated with lower all-cause mortality risk.
What the studies found Higher device-recorded physical activity reflects a genuine reduction in health risk, particularly mortality risk.
- Anchor-grade evidence affirms the core relationship.
- Multiple supporting studies are consistent with the core relationship.
- An anchor study is present but its own reported finding does not cleanly affirm this claim, so it does not count toward the Established threshold.
- The claim rests on a single anchor whose finding affirms it; a second independent affirming anchor is needed to reach Established.
- Some evidence conflicts on secondary points that do not change the core direction.
- Tracker Data Sorted Depression Scores About 80% Right1 shared study
do activity trackers make people more active
§Rated proposition Wearable activity tracker use increases physical activity participation.
KnowYourPrime Evidence RegistryFinding KYP-ER-0012, the permanent, citable record of this rating
What the studies found Using a consumer wearable activity tracker increases how physically active people actually become.
- Systematic-review or meta-analytic evidence affirms the core relationship.
- Multiple supporting studies are consistent with the core relationship.
- The claim rests on a single anchor whose finding affirms it; a second independent affirming anchor is needed to reach Established.
- Null-result evidence bears directly on the claimed effect.
- Some evidence conflicts on secondary points that do not change the core direction.
- Does Wearing a Fitness Tracker Actually Make You More Active?1 shared study
- How Accurate Is the Calorie Count on Your Watch?1 shared study
Do wearables measure heart rate accurately?
§Rated proposition Consumer wearable devices measure heart rate with accuracy comparable to reference standards.
KnowYourPrime Evidence RegistryFinding KYP-ER-0009, the permanent, citable record of this rating
What the studies found Wrist wearables measure heart rate accurately against a chest-strap or ECG reference at rest, with agreement falling away as movement increases.
- Systematic-review or meta-analytic evidence affirms the core relationship.
- Multiple supporting studies are consistent with the core relationship.
- Some evidence conflicts on secondary points that do not change the core direction.
- A new core-hitting conflicting study, a retraction of an anchor, or a failed replication would lower this rating.
- How Does Your Watch Actually Count Steps?8 shared studies
- Step Counts Hold Up in Parkinson's, Less Known for Stroke3 shared studies
- How Accurate Is the Calorie Count on Your Watch?7 shared studies
- Tracker Data Sorted Depression Scores About 80% Right1 shared study
- Your Smartwatch May Undercount Steps If You Use a Cane or Walker1 shared study
are consumer wearables accurate enough to trust for calorie/energy-expenditure estimates
§Rated proposition Consumer wearable devices measure energy expenditure with accuracy comparable to reference standards.
KnowYourPrime Evidence RegistryFinding KYP-ER-0010, the permanent, citable record of this rating
What the studies found Consumer wearables measure calorie/energy-expenditure accurately enough to be meaningful.
- Multiple supporting studies are consistent with the core relationship.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding runs contrary to this claim, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding runs contrary to this claim, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- An anchor study was assessed but it does not test this claim’s core relationship directly, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding runs contrary to this claim, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- At least one unresolved conflicting study bears on the core claim, capping the rating until reconciled.
- Some evidence conflicts on secondary points that do not change the core direction.
- How Accurate Is the Calorie Count on Your Watch?4 shared studies
- How Does Your Watch Actually Count Steps?2 shared studies
- Tracker Data Sorted Depression Scores About 80% Right1 shared study
does 220 minus age (or similar age-based formulas) accurately predict max heart rate
§Rated proposition Age-predicted maximal-heart-rate equations match an individual’s actual measured maximal heart rate.
What the studies found Age-based formulas such as 220-minus-age accurately predict an individual's true maximal heart rate.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding runs contrary to this claim, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding runs contrary to this claim, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- Is 220 Minus Your Age Actually Your Max Heart Rate?2 shared studies
Does a wrist tracker still count steps right with a cane or walker?
§Rated proposition A wrist-worn wearable counts steps accurately when a mobility aid is used.
What the studies found A wrist tracker undercounts badly when you use a walker or walk slowly. An Apple Watch lost 36% of steps with a rolling walker, and a wrist Fitbit ran 31% error where the same Fitbit on a hip ran 1.5%.
- Null-result evidence bears directly on the claimed effect.
- Some evidence conflicts on secondary points that do not change the core direction.
- Your Smartwatch May Undercount Steps If You Use a Cane or Walker2 shared studies
- Step Counts Hold Up in Parkinson's, Less Known for Stroke2 shared studies
Can a fitness tracker detect depression?
§Rated proposition Wearable-derived data detects depressive symptoms.
What the studies found Wearable data sorted depression severity at an AUC of 0.82 across a student and an outpatient sample. Reviews of the wider literature put the predictive ability lower and call it unready for clinical use.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding supports this claim only weakly, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- An anchor study was assessed but its own reported finding supports this claim only weakly, so the evidence is treated as unsettled rather than affirming.
- Tracker Data Sorted Depression Scores About 80% Right3 shared studies
Evidence on: Higher wearable-measured physical activity is associated with lower all-cause mortality risk.
13 scored
Evidence on: Wearable activity tracker use increases physical activity participation.
8 scored
Evidence on: Consumer wearable devices measure heart rate with accuracy comparable to reference standards.
61 scored
Evidence on: Consumer wearable devices measure energy expenditure with accuracy comparable to reference standards.
21 scored
Evidence on: Age-predicted maximal-heart-rate equations match an individual’s actual measured maximal heart rate.
2 scored
Evidence on: A wrist-worn wearable counts steps accurately when a mobility aid is used.
6 scored
Evidence on: Wearable-derived data detects depressive symptoms.
3 scored